538 President 2024 Prediction. The new york times has harris ahead, with 49% odds compared with trump’s 47%, while project fivethirtyeight and abc give the vice president a 47% chance of. The figures we have used in the graphics above are averages created by polling analysis website 538, which is part of american news network abc news.to create them, 538.

On tuesday night, vice president kamala harris and former president donald trump met to argue. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections.